Clarksville, Tennessee 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for 3 Miles SE Saint Bethlehem TN
National Weather Service Forecast for:
3 Miles SE Saint Bethlehem TN
Issued by: National Weather Service Nashville, TN |
Updated: 11:14 pm CDT Jun 5, 2025 |
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Today
 Chance T-storms then T-storms
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Tonight
 Showers Likely then Chance T-storms
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Saturday
 Showers Likely then T-storms Likely
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Saturday Night
 T-storms Likely then Showers Likely
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Sunday
 Slight Chance T-storms
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Sunday Night
 Mostly Clear
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Monday
 Chance T-storms then Showers Likely
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Monday Night
 Chance Showers
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Tuesday
 Mostly Sunny
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Hi 86 °F |
Lo 69 °F |
Hi 82 °F |
Lo 69 °F |
Hi 84 °F |
Lo 66 °F |
Hi 82 °F |
Lo 64 °F |
Hi 81 °F |
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Today
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Showers and thunderstorms likely before 3pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 3pm and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. High near 86. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 5 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Tonight
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. South southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Saturday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 10am and 4pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Saturday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely before 4am, then a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Sunday
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A slight chance of showers before 10am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 10am and 4pm, then a slight chance of showers after 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Sunday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 66. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. |
Monday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Monday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Tuesday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming west northwest around 5 mph in the morning. |
Tuesday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. |
Wednesday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. |
Wednesday Night
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Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. |
Thursday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for 3 Miles SE Saint Bethlehem TN.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
521
FXUS64 KOHX 060814
AFDOHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
314 AM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025
...New MESOSCALE UPDATE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 258 AM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025
- Low risk for severe storms Friday afternoon into the early
evening hours. Main concerns are damaging wind gusts and heavy
rain potentially leading to localized flooding.
- Low risk for severe storms Saturday, however confidence is low
in exact coverage and timing.
- While Sunday could be dry for most of Middle TN, unsettled
weather continues into next week.
&&
.MESOSCALE UPDATE FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE STORMS TODAY AND TOMORROW
...Issued at 258 AM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025
The severe storm risk for Middle Tennessee the next two days has
not changed appreciatively with the morning round of updates from
the SPC. We are under a slight risk of severe storms today and
again tomorrow, mainly during the afternoon and evening. However,
due to the scattered nature of the expected convection, it is
difficult to get specific with any timing estimates. This morning,
an MCS will ride a weak shortwave eastward out of Oklahoma,
across Arkansas, and into West Tennessee during the morning. The
06Z HRRR suggests that the original MCS will dissipate before
reaching Middle Tennessee, but additional storms will develop as
the aforementioned shortwave pushes into Middle Tennessee during
the mid to late afternoon and into the evening hours. Most of the
day`s convection will be gone by the overnight period. The latest
NAM forecast sounding for Nashville at 21Z today gives a surface-
based CAPE in excess of 2,600 J/kg and a lifted index of -8. Mid-
level lapse rates look a little better at 6.0C/km. Helicity values
are under 100, but the precipitable water is sky-high at 1.95",
which is very close to a daily max value and definitely above the
90th percentile. So there is the potential for strong to damaging
wind gusts with today`s storms, and a nice mid-level dry layer
and low LI value also hints at the potential for updrafts strong
enough to support large hail, which then points to the potential
for frequent lightning with the stronger storms, which is critical
given the outdoor events that will be going on today. Tomorrow,
the HRRR brings another MCS across the area during the morning
hours, but on a trajectory that takes the strongest storms across
southern Middle Tennessee, thereby bypassing the Nashville Metro
Area. There will likely be additional storms that develop during
peak-heating hours on Saturday, but confidence in severe storm
development across areas, say, along and north of I-40 is much
lower than confidence today.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday Night)
Issued at 1030 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
It`s been pretty quiet across Middle TN this evening as very obvious
subsidence has kept any storms from developing. We`ve had a couple
of showers develop west of I-65, but the mid-state has been in a
subsidence zone between the wave on the Atlantic seaboard and a weak
upper trough to our west. This should continue through most of the
night and the most we are likely to get tonight is some patchy fog.
However, this likely won`t be the case for tomorrow. As temperatures
climb into the 80s again tomorrow afternoon and a southerly push of
moisture increases dew points into the low 70s (it`s gonna be sticky
out there), CAPE values will jump up near 2500 J/Kg (or better).
With instability in place, we need a lifting mechanism and that
might come in the form of a remnant MCS from OK/AR that is
expected to move towards Middle TN later tonight and tomorrow
morning. By the afternoon, scattered showers and thunderstorms are
expected across the area, however timing is a bit suspect right
now. CAMs are a bit diverse in solution regarding storm timing,
but I think from mid-afternoon into the early evening, we`re
going to be monitoring the radar closely. Biggest concerns still
looks like wind and heavy rain. Lapse rates are in the mid 6s and
with about 35 kts of shear, but very little helicity, damaging
winds will be the primary threat tomorrow. Additionally, with PWs
expected to be in the 90th percentile and storm motions about 15
kts, we could be looking at some real gushers. Localized flooding
can`t be ruled out because of this.
If you have outdoor plans tomorrow, be sure you are watching the
weather. Make sure you are aware of the location of shelters in
the event your location goes under a severe thunderstorm warning.
As zonal flow aloft continues into the day on Saturday and yet
another MCS pushes out of OK/AR in our direction Saturday morning, a
very similar situation could present itself in the afternoon.
Confidence in this occurring is lower, however. This is due to
recent CAM runs that suggest a more southeasterly track of storms,
potentially pushing from the Memphis region and into northern
Alabama. Very mesoscale details will make that decision on
trajectory and hopefully we can get a clearer picture on rain
chances by tomorrow evening for Saturday`s storm chances.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Friday)
Issued at 1030 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
If you have outdoor plans this weekend and you`re looking for a dry
day, Sunday could be your day. Many models are suggesting dry skies
with warm temperatures and dew points relaxing back into the 60s
under northwest flow.
Extended guidance is a bit diverse next week. GFS is suggesting an
active pattern with Euro showing at least the middle of the week
being dry after storms roll through here on Monday (both are
actually showing this). Of course, rain chances will help dictate
afternoon highs, but the 6-10 day outlook does keep us near normal
through the end of next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1220 AM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025
VFR conditions are expected for most of this TAF cycle, but
scattered storms will enter the picture Friday afternoon and
likely last into the early evening hours. With some uncertainty
regarding timing, have covered with PROB30s for the time being,
but they may need to be adjusted with the 12Z issuance. Any storms
that directly affect a terminal will cause brief IFR to LIFR
conditions. Winds will be light (10 kts or less) and mainly
southwesterly.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville 88 72 83 71 / 80 60 70 70
Clarksville 85 70 82 69 / 80 60 70 60
Crossville 82 65 79 65 / 80 70 80 90
Columbia 89 70 83 69 / 80 50 70 80
Cookeville 84 67 80 66 / 80 70 80 80
Jamestown 82 65 79 65 / 80 70 80 80
Lawrenceburg 87 69 83 68 / 70 50 80 80
Murfreesboro 89 70 84 69 / 80 60 80 80
Waverly 85 68 81 67 / 70 60 70 70
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Unger
LONG TERM....Unger
AVIATION.....Unger
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